Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72a72b7967c5e5d4153e0c1a27c7c7d58ccf9087f837cfa574934df0c61804c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 2,506$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.81 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 50c | 1,599$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.61 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…0e6ebacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Over | 55c | 620$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 75c | 540$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 70c | 470.56$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 64c | 267$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Over | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 211$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 208.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 70c | 128$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 28c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 105$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 71c | 97.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 22c | 87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 50c | 63.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 68c | 55.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da1…4e5fbacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 63c | 39.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Over | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 35c | 31.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.