Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04374384ff4fdb65030c1849ba3861f614600b1137cc3d8a2b3bd044e53cf7c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 12c | 1,316$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 24c | 317.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 25c | 251.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 22c | 131$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Over | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Over | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 77c | 44.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Under | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Under | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Under | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Under | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Under | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Under | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Under | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Under | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Under | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Under | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Under | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.