Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0ab41d713a2b420dbc5cfd348de3c5f3c52973179ab7e5bc959d4677435d4fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof Tottenham Hotspur FC, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC | 77c | 3,109$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.45 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 20c | 1,499$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sunderland AFC | 67c | 489.7$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 27c | 161$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Sunderland AFC | 63c | 56.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Sunderland AFC | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…1133backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 41c | 36.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Sunderland AFC | 74c | 28.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Sunderland AFC | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Sunderland AFC | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Sunderland AFC | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Sunderland AFC | 73c | 19.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Sunderland AFC | 75c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Sunderland AFC | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)this page
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.