La Liga · resolved market
Girona vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e189dd56bc3ed61b9eb9cdbae432f85a589cdcb8f692a8fac96693168247acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 1,516$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.08 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 62c | 1,181$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,165$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 39c | 883.73$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 48c | 419.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf495…de66backed Yes | 74c | 310.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Yes | 80c | 269.72$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 63c | 160.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 61c | 133.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 61c | 124.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 61c | 119.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 27c | 113.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…a358backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 34c | 99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 35c | 71.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 36c | 40.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0567…82d1backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8b51backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef3…2cd8backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…3740backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…2777backed Yes | 63c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Girona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.