TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Over8c8,119$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over44c5,719$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c4,016$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over5c2,983$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c2,661$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.722,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under63c1,789$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.471968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over28c1,577$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.68032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over46c1,441$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.3522041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over17c1,040$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.633120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over3c1,026$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.434924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under67c914.99$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.052,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over38c914.13$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.3730431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over28c800$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22523820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over14c589.93$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5911820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c541.13$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.481,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over18c527.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Under59c508.08$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.68138.3%31 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c458.93$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1168141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over6c398.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over11c369.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.917223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under66c364.97$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7931553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over10c329.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.47724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over6c324$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9435658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over7c275.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3244435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over41c273.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over10c271.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.770948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under78c255.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.867352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over38c255$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.913830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c231$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.262,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c227.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5313548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under78c207.65$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2163151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over38c202.49$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over40c195.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.59230.4%28 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c194.69$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.663,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over44c179.27$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8838439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c172$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.433,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c166$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.362,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over23c157.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.694057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under55c135.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.251,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c128.35$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Over44c122.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.84845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under56c115.39$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.772,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over44c114.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over44c114.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.38750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c111.81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed Over11c111.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.943246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.317217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over46c108.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c107$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.021,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4420050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4316153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3924533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under56c86.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.911,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.450450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Under57c78.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.612937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Under72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.951040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over42c62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.043,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Under54c54.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.189443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.751,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over36c48.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.331,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over44c45.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207824.4%19 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf67…6842backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010628.3%30 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under68c41.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2611965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8770…43b0backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under57c38.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9740355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.623732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdad…fb9ebacked Over37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under56c32.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.261,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under65c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.216659.6%99 W · 67 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under58c29.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.519463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under59c26.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8931550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under54c23.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7337057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.682,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8726631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.88572.9%62 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Under76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.747663.2%48 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under56c18.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1918435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under78c16.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6547546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under70c16.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0118764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d58…1df8backed Under65c16.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632564%16 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Under79c15.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.376142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a8d…a483backed Under79c14.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.