Fifa International · resolved market
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bcaf61e01083dfd2513a7143512d0794aaa7518c5ab9110ac98b694c0f78c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 17,073$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Under | 41c | 7,264$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 10c | 4,943$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 9c | 3,594$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.82 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 10c | 2,960$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.45 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 4c | 2,842$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 9c | 2,549$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 1,859$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.88 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Over | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Over | 73c | 1,361$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.43 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 1,309$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.73 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 1,129$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 9c | 898.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 70c | 757.14$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 13c | 755$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 16c | 677.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 76c | 660.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 57c | 655.72$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed Over | 73c | 512.77$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Under | 16c | 378.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 79c | 305.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 56c | 290.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 75c | 288.67$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Under | 9c | 236.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 8c | 179.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6f77backed Over | 66c | 167.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 18c | 165.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Under | 19c | 160$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 44c | 134.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 75c | 133.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 60c | 99.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 30c | 90.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Under | 33c | 72.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Over | 70c | 67.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Under | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Over | 73c | 46.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…88a5backed Under | 31c | 44.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e5…6f7abacked Over | 77c | 32.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…ae98backed Over | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…1ebabacked Over | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 63c | 22.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 67c | 22.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 66c | 16.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Wales won
- Spread: Wales (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Wales (-2.5)Ghana won
- Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.