Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c07993b98a67f14dd12d6f843cb4f0b700b0be2769a5166cff0d85a4436df26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walesof Ghana, Wales
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Ghana | 10c | 11,007$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.75 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Ghana | 9c | 1,139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…e958backed Ghana | 8c | 1,025$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4305…df2ebacked Ghana | 8c | 999.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…1817backed Ghana | 8c | 994.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…8147backed Ghana | 8c | 994.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…ed7fbacked Ghana | 8c | 992.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…51a8backed Ghana | 8c | 992.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…ad9ebacked Ghana | 8c | 988.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…ea86backed Ghana | 8c | 853.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…2f53backed Ghana | 8c | 840.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daa…1a46backed Ghana | 8c | 831.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f3…a670backed Ghana | 8c | 801.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…8988backed Ghana | 8c | 779.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ghana | 9c | 600.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Ghana | 14c | 317$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Ghana | 11c | 299.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ghana | 8c | 165.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ghana | 11c | 149.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Ghana | 14c | 113.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Wales (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Wales (-2.5)Ghana won
- Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.