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Fifa International · resolved market

Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c18,569$8,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,925.5912146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over35c15,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,749.882835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under62c11,811$7,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,361.381,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x264a…85ecbacked Over48c6,488$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.562157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c5,480$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.13,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under48c5,391$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under40c3,681$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.8184738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c3,596$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under59c3,505$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0814665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over70c3,503$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.3911561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c2,967$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.9524649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over37c2,123$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.6530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over42c1,756$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.915248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under30c1,656$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.833,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over56c1,514$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.2840239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over46c1,508$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.192,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over21c1,429$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.5731644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c1,403$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.021,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over55c1,369$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.095062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over44c1,259$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.242,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under73c1,222$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.4720150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over71c1,210$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.968672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over40c926.78$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over55c713.31$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.996152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c679.85$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over57c676.74$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over57c676.74$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over42c650$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over40c643.69$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.5559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3208955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over45c495.31$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9223940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over49c490.83$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9923345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7511252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c449.21$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.951,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Over44c446.42$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8620253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under53c441.61$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.473450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5714866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c424.78$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1421747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5410261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under30c387.82$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4118435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Over50c364$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over30c330$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2314139%16 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over44c329.73$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.657122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over52c317.58$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.445074%37 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over48c310.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5511135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under51c309.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15322846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under29c287.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.441,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c0…4c07backed Under62c283.35$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.061050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under68c282.29$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over43c259.93$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9550450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over57c256.68$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.374348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over40c247.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.733246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Over66c225.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.766258.1%36 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c223.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.93,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under63c214.03$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under30c213$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under54c212.82$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.049230.4%28 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c209.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.711,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under60c207.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under71c202.23$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0320839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12812729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under44c199$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.562,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over55c198.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1213268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under30c197.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.323,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Under53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over56c171.63$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4825455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over55c168.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9955153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed Over71c163.66$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.461560%9 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b43…0f61backed Under62c162.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e15…bdb2backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under68c150.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3413548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over70c147.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1427254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under31c146.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4920330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Under44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over69c135.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9118…4db8backed Over37c132.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653444.1%15 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over38c122.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7746562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over53c119.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.417255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over59c117.33$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3316153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under65c117$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0533443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over46c116.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1415543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c107.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under31c106.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.14727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over63c106.68$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd39…600cbacked Over69c104.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.555100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over56c101.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6313253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over33c99.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.995719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.