La Liga · resolved market
Valencia vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x419801a92d535ac798f6f4e9e7b46079595e31a66ad74e90ca3f2954fa31bc4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 49c | 1,114$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.28 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 1,084$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.84 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 50c | 800.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.32 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 50c | 535.34$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 24c | 350$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 49c | 209.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed No | 51c | 199.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 50c | 114.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 49c | 96.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 51.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 49c | 48.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 42.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed No | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Valencia (-1.5)Sevilla won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.