La Liga · resolved market
Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb3db3da2ae1fde32a27b4802aa46c1c70df8c6111c7b3eb6ace52be77e98f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 14c | 3,451$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.68 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 6c | 818.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 78c | 593.04$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 77c | 444$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 78c | 317.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 23c | 232$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 24c | 126.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…947dbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 79c | 63.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Under | 78c | 39.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…b959backed Under | 79c | 22.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb6…42a5backed Under | 76c | 17.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Valencia (-1.5)Sevilla won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.