La Liga · resolved market
Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304d62188414e94e53b6d95045b4b97ce8e875442d77033edb8eedfa04237b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 6,629$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.87 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 32c | 3,653$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.97 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 3,023$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.54 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 70c | 2,183$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.79 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 69c | 789.39$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Over | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 70c | 631.44$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 67c | 600$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.5 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 31c | 600$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 540.89$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…865ebacked Over | 63c | 516.19$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…198fbacked Over | 60c | 495$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 60c | 485.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.04 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 29c | 444$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 71c | 130.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 49c | 112.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 111$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…18f5backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 44c | 94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Under | 65c | 85.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 31c | 80.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 70c | 71.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f2…1e32backed Over | 70c | 52.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 61c | 44.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 39.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 35c | 35.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 78c | 32.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 30.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 69c | 29.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 61c | 21.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…0591backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…1e51backed Over | 70c | 19.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Valencia (-1.5)Sevilla won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.