La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Valencia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62a4e57e3f393deca31ada8430f084adca9de30e49eb88987c122d2b7c89edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sevillaof Valencia, Sevilla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Valencia | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sevilla | 76c | 2,649$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.68 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sevilla | 80c | 2,620$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.98 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Sevilla | 78c | 1,240$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Valencia | 22c | 1,237$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Valencia | 20c | 929.26$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sevilla | 76c | 881.5$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Valencia | 23c | 549.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Valencia | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sevilla | 77c | 151$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valencia | 21c | 127.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Valencia | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Sevilla | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Sevilla | 78c | 46.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…0fcdbacked Sevilla | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Sevilla | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sevilla | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Valencia (-1.5)this page
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.