TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes48c63,490$30,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,378.7916644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c44,099$23,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,409.21,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes47c12,123$5,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,726.11988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x803e…b070backed No53c9,642$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,531.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes45c8,214$3,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,696.361010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-80%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No56c7,147$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.510752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c6,662$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.741,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No55c4,999$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c3,824$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes5c2,879$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes23c2,702$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.991625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No79c1,837$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No59c1,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes37c1,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No52c1,489$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.78447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Yes47c1,406$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No52c1,227$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.1314654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773e…6884backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d59…778dbacked Yes46c978.26$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c648.97$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5524044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No52c640.14$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c627$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4114337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No56c594.23$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7433938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No76c528.59$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.692365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes15c525$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes45c522.22$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes45c403$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No55c399.98$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9911644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c398.21$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes48c375.63$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.33627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes48c320.48$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.832560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes30c317.46$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes4c308$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes47c295.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No71c289.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.18066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No56c277.97$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.311973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No75c273$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2515071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c262.68$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Yes38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes48c218.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No54c212.54$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4723151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes48c206.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8627244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No56c196.56$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.089348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes15c150.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes40c136.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No70c121.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7912343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c113.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.126660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdb…4851backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe71…b183backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No53c95.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.56854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes45c90.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No54c89.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a54…2d16backed Yes48c87.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes18c87.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.972832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No53c79.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.353961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked No57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.183145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bbd…1bf5backed No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Yes48c68.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab2…e698backed Yes48c66.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No52c64.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.964837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes26c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.612263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes46c58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6824642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c7…fea9backed Yes42c55.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes44c49.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.811323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes27c46.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76ba…13d3backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e6…c836backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked No53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked No62c45.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.922142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6d…8727backed Yes41c43.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-56.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.