Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x496bf5e89bfdd182380fcd0f0eaf34cc202b48a66595cacb539d5479109b3cdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 71c | 3,500$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 29c | 2,344$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.38 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Over | 67c | 2,250$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 30c | 1,780$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.99 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 30c | 1,150$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.38 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 29c | 930.21$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.46 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 680.04$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 69c | 607.01$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 32c | 429.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 27c | 423.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 30c | 174.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 71c | 87.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Under | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 31c | 56.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Over | 57c | 19.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.