Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fdccdeba30990f0c3d65567811efe2877857010a6cd54ed0155df7dc3725a65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 606.05$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 434.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.44 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 61c | 239.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed No | 41c | 194$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 175.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 60c | 166.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 55c | 118.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 55c | 101$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 58c | 92.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Yes | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 59c | 86.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 42c | 74.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Yes | 60c | 61.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Yes | 59c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 48.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.