Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ac1c6aae6d943bc8694bcaef8ec608b9bf90f151e5cb4e7efbb60ca9710acad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Under | 0c | 25,335$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 12,319$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.73 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 52c | 8,115$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.89 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 51c | 7,503$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.64 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 3,742$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.46 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,348$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.09 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 2,260$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.62 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,711$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.75 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 48c | 1,587$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.64 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 49c | 761.22$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 38c | 619.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.55 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 517.79$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 51c | 384.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 367.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 318.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 38c | 305$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 65c | 286.15$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 40c | 260$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…1654backed Over | 52c | 253.85$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 52c | 136$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 51c | 132.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 77.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…8df4backed Over | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Under | 55c | 67.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 48c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 40.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Over | 41c | 36.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d3…08bcbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Under | 45c | 28.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…120fbacked Over | 54c | 27.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Under | 50c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Over | 58c | 24.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1f…1b83backed Under | 49c | 23.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf852…306ebacked Over | 52c | 22.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…f6acbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.