Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x270c451ad85ade387932f520619c861f53bb95895142d0d69dc46d82617ca876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Saint-Germain FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Stade Rennais FC 1901
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 4,047$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.97 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 45c | 4,029$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.19 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 29c | 1,482$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.91 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 45c | 921.69$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.77 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…7b64backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 51c | 492.37$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 310.41$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 292.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 268.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 217.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…5a2dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 43c | 213.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 176.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 51c | 143.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 45c | 137.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 46c | 136.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 47c | 128.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 33c | 124.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 100.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 88.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 43c | 62.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 54c | 43.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 46c | 41.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 52c | 30.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.