Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63db889b0c95855e49df85e6ec9708935a0e43d7c1d36443fc051c0476ee1fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 24c | 12,699$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 10,181$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 17c | 6,880$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Over | 69c | 4,533$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 32c | 3,099$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…ed50backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 1,805$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.34 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 39c | 1,249$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 8cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 8c | 1,175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 5c | 1,137$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 10c | 1,085$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 68c | 1,043$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Under | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Under | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 22c | 850.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 45c | 667.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 46c | 620.37$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 46c | 620.37$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 537.95$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 69c | 536.23$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 71c | 533.18$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 44c | 458.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 14c | 430.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 12c | 281.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 57c | 257.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Over | 74c | 248.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Over | 56c | 223.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Over | 68c | 187.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 37c | 175.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 66c | 149.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Over | 72c | 138.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 9c | 128$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 69c | 106.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Over | 68c | 100.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Over | 60c | 82.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 215 | 57.7%124 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 76c | 78.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 72c | 78.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 80c | 62.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 37c | 61.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…88a5backed Over | 75c | 60.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…707bbacked Over | 71c | 59.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 77c | 40.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 36.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Over | 71c | 34.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 31c | 34.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Under | 38c | 33.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…9af6backed Over | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Under | 41c | 26.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 76c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5this page
- Austria vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.