Europa Conference League · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb18751f31526d9a1433669d9b97f24136b1da4bb1b600844e662d38cd2b163dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 2,067$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.17 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,194$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 60c | 501.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…e904backed Yes | 56c | 356.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 58c | 327.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 67c | 308.54$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.59 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 38c | 278.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 56c | 224.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 67c | 199.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes | 47c | 194.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 149.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 67c | 148.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 44c | 139.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 100.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…2797backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 35c | 85.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 39c | 63.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Yes | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 37c | 48.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 53c | 36.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 35.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 53c | 30.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 30.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 41c | 30.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 47c | 22.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 20.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.