Europa Conference League · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb231b9b03e77594410323d831532fc3971ba013d79b1cec22e7f3623bde6a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 13c | 1,387$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 1,293$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 1,156$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.24 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 46c | 1,090$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 56c | 1,088$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 56c | 958$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.52 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 737$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 14c | 721.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 540.7$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.37 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 56c | 536.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 58c | 508.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.63 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 444.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 56c | 359.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 338.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 42c | 287.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 16c | 284.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 161.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Under | 46c | 101.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 25c | 101.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 99.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 13c | 94.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 91.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 84.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 52c | 74.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Under | 44c | 67.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 44c | 37.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 32.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 59c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Over | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.