TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Over53c26,660$14,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.2660949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c8,565$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,025.462,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.9836944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c6,567$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.945,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under47c5,555$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.853040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…61e1backed Under47c4,812$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Under48c2,181$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.373053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98018048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c1,924$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.0513356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x701d…57f9backed Over55c1,893$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c1,667$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.433,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over54c1,594$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.563435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under47c1,292$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.071250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under49c1,111$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.393650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x454f…7642backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1767…f209backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46013936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under47c849.88$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.441118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-72.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c759.5$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7718744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under49c754.41$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.183141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c699.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32216147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over53c635.68$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1913842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c413.67$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1525145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over55c409.82$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.42333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c408.41$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Under49c310.96$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under47c267.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.892748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c226.32$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3716650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c206.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.681,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c206.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9778052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under47c198.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1812254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under45c198.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.22646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over54c179.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7620051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.68535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under47c148.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.893860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Over54c134.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.94463.6%28 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c128.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.054944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c116$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5250745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c115.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3627650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under45c109.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.234346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…747cbacked Under47c108.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under47c105.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd747…ead8backed Under49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.563256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Over54c99.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.66767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Under47c99.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.598245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.348549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under48c92.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.617460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf376…d88abacked Over55c91.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under47c84.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6558652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92dc…7916backed Over54c82.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385044%22 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed Under47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under47c74.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9416546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under47c69.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.712334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Over55c63.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.392941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under46c57.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.681,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under47c55.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.094252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over55c54.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.332650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Under49c51.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.266040%24 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6db…00f4backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Over54c49.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under47c49.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.316551.5%85 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over53c44.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.787146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under47c43.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under48c39.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f82…8723backed Over53c37.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c36.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8931057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa16f…3634backed Over53c33.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under47c31.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9569350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb460…b5e1backed Over52c30.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+67.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over53c30.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.124355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…0f2dbacked Over54c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe46d…8b87backed Over53c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over52c19.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.527157.7%41 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.