TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under0c55,940$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9434343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under49c25,819$12,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,531.683455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over51c10,559$5,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.642646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over52c8,707$4,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,202.482119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under2c8,353$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.442,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.7636944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c5,597$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.4546246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over52c4,994$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.1422645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over50c4,578$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.8860949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under48c4,151$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.6815858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x087b…713ebacked Over49c3,100$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5921040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over49c3,079$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.084656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Over50c2,726$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.975947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Over49c2,545$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…d107backed Under51c2,078$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over49c2,029$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.755060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Over49c2,027$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.734360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…7752backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ad…c303backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c1,883$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.9513356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c1,536$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.082,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c1,516$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.983,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c1,514$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.775,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under50c1,367$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.735149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5616336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Over48c1,020$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c1,003$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.548845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Under51c1,001$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.592128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Over50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6312646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under17c923.49$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.813842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over51c907$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4310749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c816.33$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over48c730.52$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.873141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under51c699.28$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.6331448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c692.42$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.243,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over52c594.76$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.53256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under51c583.09$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over52c577.37$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9916248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c508.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.41,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+65.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over50c398.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1237246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Over51c396.5$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…e0ebbacked Over51c388.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.48977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c345.76$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7518744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d56…a287backed Under16c311.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.762850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over51c297.38$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7139454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Over52c285.84$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.29552.6%50 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under10c246.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.015,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c212.74$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3716650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under50c201.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6318048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under52c198.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0920642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Over50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.137955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…ead8backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.133256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Over77c193.38$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.323028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7196…dde2backed Under52c183.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d83…d1dabacked Under15c165.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.892437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…8eadbacked Under49c160.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.31181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Over49c153.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over51c146.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under16c130.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.865959.3%35 W · 24 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under12c125.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.868640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.751526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed Under50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.751050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over49c121.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.93554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc3…4145backed Under17c118.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c108.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3727650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Under50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.564953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.562356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Under50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Over51c69.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.294151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under50c65.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.983860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over51c59.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2415551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ca…7432backed Under22c58.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.922853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over48c55.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.762065%13 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over50c54.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2658652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Over50c50.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.372263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2534947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over50c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.781526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over79c44.84$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8310048%48 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under33c40.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.287745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a2…9721backed Over51c38.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.051181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over59c36.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.864,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over51c33.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa05…fed7backed Under49c30.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.062268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over49c30.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under50c29.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.936752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under51c26.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.662334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c25.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.651,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba00…747cbacked Under51c25.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.891741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Over48c24.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.913246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Over50c23.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.97865.4%51 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Over49c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.