TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Connecticut Huskiesof Duke Blue Devils, Connecticut Huskies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,191 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Duke Blue Devils52c1,406$726 inLost-$726.1846246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Duke Blue Devils49c1,197$583 inLost-$582.511,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c85backed Connecticut Huskies46c820.11$377 inWon+$442.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Connecticut Huskies51c479.86$245 inWon+$235.138372.3%60 W · 23 L+14.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Connecticut Huskies53c432.54$228 inWon+$204.545959.3%35 W · 24 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Connecticut Huskies43c327.17$141 inWon+$186.4944146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Connecticut Huskies49c317.2$155 inWon+$161.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+389.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Connecticut Huskies46c298.7$139 inWon+$159.923,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Connecticut Huskies42c180.87$76 inWon+$104.934,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Duke Blue Devils64c134.26$85 inLost-$85.323,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af9…c3e8backed Connecticut Huskies25c100$25 inWon+$755358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Duke Blue Devils23c70.56$16 inLost-$16.321560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Duke Blue Devils57c69.39$40 inLost-$39.793,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Connecticut Huskies51c63.62$32 inWon+$31.172,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f9d…b755backed Connecticut Huskies54c55.28$30 inWon+$25.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Duke Blue Devils36c50.62$18 inLost-$18.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Duke Blue Devils51c48.59$25 inLost-$24.781526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Connecticut Huskies45c41.86$19 inWon+$23.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Duke Blue Devils54c33.68$18 inLost-$18.0619153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Connecticut Huskies73c31$23 inWon+$8.379725.8%25 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2ca…7432backed Connecticut Huskies56c26.64$15 inWon+$11.772853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Connecticut Huskies73c20$15 inWon+$5.47443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.