TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb0…6a68backed Over57c85,608$49,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,513.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c34,240$16,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,776.874,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under42c13,907$5,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,840.737841%32 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under73c12,971$9,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,505.299933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under44c12,342$5,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,450.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over38c10,448$3,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,516.0257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under58c8,181$4,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.692955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over28c7,093$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,102.1483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c6,813$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.7168450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over42c6,479$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.91,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c5,928$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.871,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Under44c5,500$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c5,239$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.641751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd76b…e9d5backed Over33c4,503$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over56c4,107$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.0820054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under1c3,916$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.162240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.36862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c3,510$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.173,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over39c2,432$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.2222859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c2,341$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.572,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under56c2,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over36c1,676$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.431233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over37c1,503$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.271833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Under44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over55c1,043$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.3512948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c1,032$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.5964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over56c1,023$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.612546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under46c1,022$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+81.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6806259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under74c951.68$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under70c836$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.25446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under72c768.2$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.565036%18 W · 32 L-8.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under9c757.4$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.264035%14 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under68c700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4761625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under7c649.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under50c583$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.915660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under72c517.08$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.39561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c511.87$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2269750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over57c482$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.268947.2%42 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c466.31$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over30c442.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.827440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over51c403.16$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.551450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over47c400$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2144843.8%21 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under42c398$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.142142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over51c372.43$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.491330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under27c364.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.83030%9 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under54c363.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6127758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under43c334.12$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.054148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under42c309.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under43c302.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-46.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3835…bcacbacked Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under62c285.36$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.287444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under42c278.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.813145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under61c254$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0411253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over32c253.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.133652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under73c250$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.255232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under54c247.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1334062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under46c232$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.023560%21 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a0…b873backed Under67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0686…2763backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under73c195$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1057…1636backed Over33c194.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c188.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.491,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under47c158.22$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9922557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under69c158.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7711154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under63c156.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.281250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under72c153.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.761442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.53100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+297.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under42c138$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9614525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under60c137$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8821139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Over36c134.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under69c132.81$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0811251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03fd…2cd4backed Over37c127.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+77.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c125.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over18c119.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.991250%6 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c117$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.141,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c113$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2945841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3509…9e45backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under59c101.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.743351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.25547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4466…cd34backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Over57c99.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3500…07f0backed Under49c96.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick53cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under72c95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.31450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over56c89.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.489252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under62c86.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.757450%37 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.