La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e34f9f29f420582f0b5a5363033bad748382ac76f819fff8edc5a0ea2c5de2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 80c | 11,551$9,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.83 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 2c | 8,315$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 7,576$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 17c | 6,605$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.77 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 3,489$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.18 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459b…f771backed Under | 20c | 3,170$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 3c | 2,917$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 19c | 2,465$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 3c | 2,250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 69c | 1,832$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 33c | 1,322$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Over | 69c | 1,300$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Under | 18c | 1,180$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 2c | 1,104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 80c | 844.75$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 25c | 770.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…5ef5backed Under | 17c | 721.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 61c | 658.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.94 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…b7b5backed Over | 76c | 645.25$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 69c | 532.01$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 46c | 500$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…1f4ebacked Under | 18c | 485.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 482.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 35c | 475.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 33c | 450$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 33c | 449.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 418$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 387.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.39 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…0f39backed Under | 17c | 348.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 33c | 347.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…61a7backed Over | 66c | 303.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…73b1backed Under | 17c | 254.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed Under | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Under | 17c | 241.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…4bd8backed Over | 80c | 191.45$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 185.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over | 69c | 146.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Over | 69c | 145.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…75a6backed Over | 74c | 131.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 36c | 120.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Over | 68c | 117.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 56c | 114.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 16c | 105.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 37c | 95.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Over | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 33c | 87.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 16c | 79.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x627d…92f1backed Under | 17c | 61.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a30backed Over | 80c | 55.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 45.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 66c | 37.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 35c | 31.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 45c | 22.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Deportivo Alavés O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Deportivo Alavés O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Deportivo Alavés O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.