La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa922be7b0f211b702b5ab600411367e8009909dbf0b2f047af8035a30ac14f75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 12,655$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,725.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 74c | 5,920$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.2 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 2c | 5,010$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 24c | 4,003$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.93 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 3,701$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.41 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 2,818$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.53 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 2,196$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 1,817$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.84 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 29c | 1,198$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.02 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 1,024$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.05 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 28c | 1,001$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.72 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 71c | 977.2$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.81 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 29c | 872.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.27 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 71c | 719.02$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.69 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 71c | 702.8$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.99 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 72c | 591.42$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 526$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.46 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 29c | 499.95$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 482.19$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Under | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Over | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 17c | 318.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.14 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 5c | 309.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.08 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 29c | 284.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 263$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 16c | 239.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +297.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 48c | 179.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked Under | 6c | 166.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Under | 6c | 166.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 28c | 137.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 75c | 137$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed Over | 30c | 129$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 79c | 117.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 29c | 112.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 45c | 94.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 27c | 93.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…7138backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 71c | 70.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 28c | 70.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over | 29c | 63.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 24c | 63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Under | 72c | 55.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c17…2c8bbacked Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 24c | 51.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 28c | 49.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 72c | 47.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Over | 45c | 44.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 80c | 41.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Under | 72c | 33.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 74c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e9acbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 45c | 26.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 74c | 22.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 70c | 15.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 70c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Deportivo Alavés O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Deportivo Alavés O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Deportivo Alavés O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.