La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x731d7da44d2916b1a4913185a54cd189e80ffde18339bac549af4b9d6540e57b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Betis Balompiéof Real Betis Balompié, Real Oviedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Real Oviedo | 63c | 18,983$11,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,995.64 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Betis Balompié | 76c | 8,296$6,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.89 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 3,784$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 3,784$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.91 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 1,613$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.45 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Real Oviedo | 63c | 881.79$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.53 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Real Betis Balompié | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Oviedo | 63c | 726.75$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Real Oviedo | 63c | 568$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.84 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Real Oviedo | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 35c | 420$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Real Oviedo | 64c | 390$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Real Betis Balompié | 30c | 382$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.25 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Real Oviedo | 63c | 366.13$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Real Oviedo | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Real Oviedo | 70c | 274.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.02 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Real Betis Balompié | 73c | 272$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Real Oviedo | 63c | 270.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889a…20efbacked Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…bf98backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 259.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…2e00backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 256.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…e214backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 254.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…5aa0backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 248.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa361…8494backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 240.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…b63cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Oviedo | 63c | 199.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe093…d3c2backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Oviedo | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Real Oviedo | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 87.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Real Betis Balompié | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 58c | 82.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…5c11backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Real Oviedo | 51c | 77.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Real Oviedo | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Real Betis Balompié | 35c | 64.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Oviedo | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 56.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Real Betis Balompié | 78c | 56.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 35c | 56.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Real Betis Balompié | 36c | 55.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Real Betis Balompié | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 70c | 55.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Real Betis Balompié | 38c | 51.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Real Betis Balompié | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 35c | 49.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Real Oviedo | 25c | 45.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Real Betis Balompié | 35c | 42.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Real Betis Balompié | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Real Betis Balompié | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Real Betis Balompié | 75c | 38.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Real Oviedo | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Real Oviedo | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 33.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Betis Balompié | 46c | 27.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Real Oviedo | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…6861backed Real Oviedo | 69c | 18.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 74c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.