La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6fddf58406386bba29f3dd11801845905801c75c59993b56221446e480c42d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 65c | 9,918$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.02 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 4,096$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.57 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…632fbacked Over | 22c | 3,549$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 48c | 2,863$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.88 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 2c | 1,940$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,833$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.92 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Over | 27c | 1,750$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 28c | 1,196$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 1,132$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.33 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 29c | 959$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.11 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 71c | 857.99$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 754.94$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.68 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 442.67$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.45 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 32c | 370$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 28c | 289$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 40c | 240.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…0b47backed Over | 35c | 229.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 157$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Under | 29c | 135$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 129$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 37c | 104.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 55c | 83.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…1637backed Over | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…1002backed Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Over | 53c | 58.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 73c | 55.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Over | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 38c | 52.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 27c | 39.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…ca1bbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 61c | 31.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…2c75backed Over | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 35c | 29.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 73c | 22.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 73c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 73c | 20.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…f75abacked Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.