Champions League · resolved market
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3968a3731dcc2ede3c6db7f7e479355e31bd380d4580cc92b56ba680f5eec8b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 7,159$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.27 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 7,156$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.8 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 20c | 5,093$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.83 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 13c | 3,628$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 62c | 1,923$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 6c | 1,677$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 19c | 1,590$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.15 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 78c | 1,039$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.67 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 999.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 14c | 821.74$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 741.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 79c | 680.13$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 10c | 662.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 2c | 565.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 561.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…fe76backed Yes | 3c | 465.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 3c | 425.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 27c | 367.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 38c | 359.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Yes | 15c | 336.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 38c | 326.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…6569backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 23c | 295.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 14c | 257.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 18c | 249.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes | 16c | 232.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 34c | 219$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 16c | 214.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 196.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Yes | 46c | 173.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 26c | 155.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 133.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 23c | 130.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…d0abbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 15c | 98.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 83.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 62c | 80.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Yes | 18c | 74.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 21c | 70.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 24c | 61.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 79c | 57.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…c677backed Yes | 20c | 49.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 22c | 45.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 44c | 45.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 44c | 45.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed No | 79c | 37.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 80c | 30.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.1wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 77c | 21.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…a20abacked No | 55c | 18.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 77c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-14?this page
- Will ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?Yes won
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.