Champions League · resolved market
Will ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4fca94e75aeb9e5bce9883da480d6062864d0ca57ac8898bdeace0e3d103b76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 7,303$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.08 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 3,290$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.16 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 79c | 1,819$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 47c | 1,275$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 22c | 899$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.05 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 61c | 817.84$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.14 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 671.72$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.85 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 624.43$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.11 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 599.99$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.99 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 47c | 556.68$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 79c | 480$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.8 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 376.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.24 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 330.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.06 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 311.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 36c | 306.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 298.04$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 285.61$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 80c | 272.53$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.69 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 79c | 240$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 79c | 240$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 45c | 211.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 193.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 78c | 179.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 172.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 78c | 170$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 23c | 167.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 28c | 155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 146.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 22c | 136.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 78c | 134.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d07…6555backed Yes | 56c | 131.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 129.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 79c | 129.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 13c | 124$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 79c | 118.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 112.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 21c | 112$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 106.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928c…331ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Yes | 80c | 98.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 22c | 95.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 86.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 44c | 82.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 43c | 79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 20c | 76.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 52c | 73.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 43c | 72.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 69.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Yes | 58c | 66.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 21c | 66.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Yes | 64c | 62.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 35c | 61.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 70c | 60.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed No | 79c | 59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…896ebacked Yes | 64c | 57.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 64c | 55.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 64c | 54.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked No | 79c | 52.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 50c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 50c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 46c | 46.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…2367backed Yes | 34c | 45.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +311.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…a04ebacked Yes | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 50c | 28.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 78cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…172abacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…d211backed Yes | 51c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…6ccabacked Yes | 69c | 15.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?this page
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?No won
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.