TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e6f…22a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-51.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.83
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$24.97
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$8.58
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.