Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d58bb5a2cdeae2875715ecad966ad8477e03df83e2d0782e601b3feeb6b657
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 5,101$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.83 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 4,062$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 2,987$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.73 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,667$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.33 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.78 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 29c | 1,369$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 729$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 619.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 40c | 497.08$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 493.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.19 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 318$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 242$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 50c | 218.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 212$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 177.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 29c | 159.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…468cbacked No | 61c | 137.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 37c | 135.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…3c39backed No | 69c | 130.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 29c | 114.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 57c | 114.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 18c | 112.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 29c | 112$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…170dbacked Yes | 42c | 91.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed No | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 30c | 72.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 61.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…205bbacked Yes | 29c | 58.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes | 64c | 56.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 55.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…8bf1backed Yes | 29c | 54.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 40c | 50.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 77c | 46.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed Yes | 77c | 38.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 37c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 53c | 30.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…bf61backed Yes | 54c | 29.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 51c | 26.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…0ca8backed No | 72c | 22.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…06aabacked No | 72c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…2141backed No | 72c | 19.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaa…35b2backed No | 72c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…a32abacked No | 72c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 73c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f26…33d1backed No | 72c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.