Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa60d324f2f9463a6aa73f630bc47e40b8945180858db212cbc1329e2efea31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 0c | 6,024$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 1c | 3,214$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed No | 3c | 3,162$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 1c | 2,536$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed No | 2c | 2,011$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…808ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,359$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.9 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 35c | 1,339$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.34 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 14c | 1,248$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 14c | 1,212$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…87a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,031$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.32 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94af…e65fbacked Yes | 68c | 673.65$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Yes | 21c | 628.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.92 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 5c | 506.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked No | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed Yes | 74c | 438.83$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f7ffbacked Yes | 24c | 435.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 16c | 318.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 142 | 22.5%32 W · 110 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 10c | 315.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed No | 8c | 307.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 5c | 257.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.12 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…4261backed Yes | 22c | 250$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 45c | 235.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked No | 20c | 228.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 227.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…6153backed Yes | 11c | 227.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 33c | 221.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.51 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…87b1backed No | 10c | 200.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked No | 60c | 185.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 184.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…c9a8backed Yes | 52c | 168.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…86c8backed No | 59c | 168.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 19c | 167.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 19c | 150.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 7c | 145.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed No | 78c | 144.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 40c | 140.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 139.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…296bbacked No | 18c | 137.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked Yes | 7c | 136.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 130.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 126$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…7ce5backed Yes | 25c | 113.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 14c | 112.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 32c | 111$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f5…ee83backed Yes | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…3392backed Yes | 25c | 98.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +127%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 25c | 95.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 63c | 90.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 57c | 88.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…d98abacked Yes | 23c | 86.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed No | 33c | 86.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 84.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 76c | 83.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 23c | 78.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 14c | 77.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…8527backed Yes | 52c | 77.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d7…a7fdbacked Yes | 77c | 74.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 28c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…5da1backed No | 29c | 69.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 49c | 69.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 67c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed Yes | 44c | 67.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa96…7c9abacked Yes | 23c | 66.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…6efcbacked Yes | 20c | 64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 219 | 30.1%66 W · 153 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 25c | 62.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 49c | 62.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 61.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 57c | 60.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…5f24backed No | 48c | 60.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed Yes | 25c | 55.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 55c | 52.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee5…67bfbacked No | 75c | 51.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 34c | 50.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…5099backed Yes | 63c | 47.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 47c | 41.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 25c | 41.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 61c | 41.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Yes | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 35c | 37.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 70c | 36.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…254cbacked Yes | 56c | 36.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 74c | 33.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…c5b6backed Yes | 76c | 27.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…5f41backed Yes | 57c | 20.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.