TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arctic Pandasof Arctic Pandas, Colossal Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,031 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf353…b287backed Arctic Pandas2c4,000$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92023915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Arctic Pandas54c3,310$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.8561645.3%279 W · 337 L+36.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Colossal Gaming58c2,542$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.4548553.4%259 W · 226 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Arctic Pandas38c1,577$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.2618041.7%75 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Colossal Gaming37c1,400$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5182,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Arctic Pandas14c1,393$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.961,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Arctic Pandas51c1,229$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.892,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Arctic Pandas47c1,101$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.272,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed Colossal Gaming38c1,036$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.8164749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Colossal Gaming52c1,034$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.5839246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Colossal Gaming2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+149.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Colossal Gaming56c808.74$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Arctic Pandas32c773.66$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.881,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Arctic Pandas65c705.11$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6723657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Colossal Gaming38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26686451.4%444 W · 420 L+52.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Arctic Pandas51c636$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.211,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Colossal Gaming60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36063551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Arctic Pandas35c511$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.253,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Colossal Gaming3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Colossal Gaming35c460.84$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.291,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Arctic Pandas54c412.3$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.818944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Colossal Gaming52c386.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Colossal Gaming9c368.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.491711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Colossal Gaming38c330.44$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4995951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Arctic Pandas47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1568557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954a…b92abacked Colossal Gaming36c317$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Arctic Pandas22c313.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.641,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dd8…db4cbacked Arctic Pandas64c303$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Arctic Pandas36c281$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7150945.8%233 W · 276 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Arctic Pandas39c280.15$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1520150.7%102 W · 99 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48a…120bbacked Arctic Pandas64c273$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Arctic Pandas37c270.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1630742%129 W · 178 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aac…f244backed Colossal Gaming36c268$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d46…70eebacked Colossal Gaming36c263$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Colossal Gaming39c258.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x724f…de80backed Arctic Pandas64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Arctic Pandas41c249.74$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.022,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e10…50d8backed Colossal Gaming36c242$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7490…5af4backed Arctic Pandas64c238$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0863…fc3bbacked Arctic Pandas64c221$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Arctic Pandas47c219.26$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arctic Pandas44c209.77$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.142,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Colossal Gaming38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7657947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Arctic Pandas6c200$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18811316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Colossal Gaming54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10866445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arctic Pandas62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Arctic Pandas66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x963a…c341backed Colossal Gaming36c195$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Arctic Pandas38c192.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5884840.8%346 W · 502 L-39.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Colossal Gaming57c164.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6592354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Arctic Pandas28c154.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4518633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Colossal Gaming59c153.16$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9657151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Colossal Gaming60c150.06$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.381,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Colossal Gaming74c135.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Arctic Pandas44c121.58$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0850749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Arctic Pandas65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colossal Gaming42c118.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.857856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Colossal Gaming34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Arctic Pandas62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…fb20backed Arctic Pandas65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-80.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Colossal Gaming53c99.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.421,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Colossal Gaming35c94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.94332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Arctic Pandas61c64.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.091,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Colossal Gaming69c60.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.061,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Arctic Pandas50c59.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4374949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf12…cbd9backed Arctic Pandas51c58.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Arctic Pandas35c56.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Arctic Pandas52c45.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.911,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Arctic Pandas58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.937345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Colossal Gaming73c43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3930545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Colossal Gaming52c40.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.022,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Colossal Gaming56c36.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0651247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Colossal Gaming55c35.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7441553.3%221 W · 194 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Arctic Pandas59c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3545344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Arctic Pandas44c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8721457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked Arctic Pandas47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9118846.3%87 W · 101 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colossal Gaming50c30.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2999338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Arctic Pandas36c29.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.027837.2%29 W · 49 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Colossal Gaming49c24.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2421953%116 W · 103 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Colossal Gaming73c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3310844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3241…476fbacked Colossal Gaming58c20.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.