Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacbcdc36512f01e4cb69e1e5991626510f4fd890ab2021e1f4cfe5336031fce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,572 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 59c | 12,533$7,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.6 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 58c | 3,563$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.61 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 41c | 2,024$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.4 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Under | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 59c | 1,621$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.61 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 41c | 1,559$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 79c | 1,201$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.79 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 42c | 1,164$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Over | 40c | 1,103$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.07 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Over | 40c | 1,077$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.43 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 36c | 1,062$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.74 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 997.69$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 20c | 816.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.32 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Over | 41c | 790.5$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.11 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 41c | 790.24$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Over | 42c | 609.52$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Over | 42c | 488.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Over | 41c | 440.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Over | 41c | 335.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Over | 80c | 306.41$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.13 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Over | 41c | 256.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 60c | 240.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 41c | 235$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 61c | 190$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked Over | 41c | 180.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over | 41c | 175$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 40c | 60.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 41c | 51.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 61c | 44.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…ef47backed Over | 42c | 39.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Over | 41c | 36.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 39c | 32.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 46cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs Colossal Gaming (+1.5)Arctic Pandas won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 3Arctic Pandas won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming - Game 1 WinnerArctic Pandas won
- LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming - Game 2 WinnerArctic Pandas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.