Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf63ce3e5668f9603a44ea7cc27152d6288fd660a048792eaf889592a0e1ecdb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8634…5677backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +941.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 1c | 2,861$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…5a9dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…8cbcbacked Yes | 42c | 1,919$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.54 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…4e1cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,750$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 17c | 1,595$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.83 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 50c | 900.19$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.03 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…0811backed Yes | 22c | 694.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +360.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed No | 16c | 694.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 7c | 677.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 26c | 667.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 2c | 645.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed No | 2c | 622.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…0fb2backed Yes | 24c | 580.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.77 | 119 | 20.2%24 W · 95 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 559.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.82 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 6c | 518.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 2c | 510.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…5548backed Yes | 37c | 499.03$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 10c | 494.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.17 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 3c | 460.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Yes | 10c | 453.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.15 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3729…f7c3backed Yes | 14c | 446.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…73adbacked No | 45c | 444.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed Yes | 14c | 443.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…8a62backed Yes | 36c | 434.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 46c | 406.38$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.76 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 77c | 399.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 78c | 328.59$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 13c | 305.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.12 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…c3b0backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…1757backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…4a36backed Yes | 16c | 296.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.28 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed Yes | 22c | 268.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…b3c7backed Yes | 59c | 245$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 4c | 237.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 8c | 230.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb0…1b9ebacked Yes | 9c | 226.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 18c | 215.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…a738backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…56a2backed Yes | 56c | 179.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 32c | 170$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 11c | 167.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75f…bd39backed No | 78c | 165.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…f46fbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed Yes | 34c | 149.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…488bbacked Yes | 15c | 143.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…9729backed Yes | 18c | 139.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…c037backed Yes | 68c | 133.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 75c | 126.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3ad7backed Yes | 20c | 107.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…104ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed87…b78abacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…2d22backed Yes | 25c | 98.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Yes | 26c | 91.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…d6e6backed Yes | 36c | 82.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…224dbacked Yes | 21c | 80.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…2721backed Yes | 17c | 80.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fe…685cbacked Yes | 25c | 77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…526cbacked Yes | 39c | 68.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…5e65backed Yes | 62c | 65.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…2808backed No | 78c | 65.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 65.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e0…1f63backed Yes | 33c | 56.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…c78abacked Yes | 27c | 55.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…a3d5backed Yes | 32c | 55.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…3177backed Yes | 40c | 50.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…2bc5backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b6…e086backed Yes | 54c | 46.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…46d8backed No | 80c | 44.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 37c | 41.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…20d4backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…2424backed Yes | 43c | 35.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0880…5ac5backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…2061backed No | 65c | 33.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…68d1backed No | 66c | 33.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed No | 77c | 26.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…afcfbacked No | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…e16fbacked Yes | 69c | 19.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…a758backed No | 79c | 17.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 68c | 16.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…eed8backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on January 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.