TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c9,961$5,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,606.5198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No41c4,442$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.8812055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes59c3,598$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.5319345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No43c3,291$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.868139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No45c2,733$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.14551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c2,005$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.2847850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddb…b423backed Yes58c2,000$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No41c1,964$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.3614955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c1,885$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.7214843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No44c1,723$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.683043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c1,368$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4543748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c1,132$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7130954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed No44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.096243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No41c856.5$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.9214755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked No59c789.46$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3421540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes59c548.56$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7130055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes55c512$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.45651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes54c511$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.684247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No59c497.88$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7110857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes53c478$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.654151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes57c467.13$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7616858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes59c457$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6311457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No45c454.35$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.091233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e5b…f324backed Yes57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e86…db9dbacked No48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes54c408.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7914047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes58c385.95$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.184032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes33c351.42$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.971752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes55c343$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.322544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c316.93$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4933444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes52c286.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes55c253.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5650%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes58c230.81$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No69c229$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9512156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes25c216.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.212532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c210.26$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0324732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.66841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes49c179.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+65.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Yes59c169.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes56c166.14$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1513551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No69c153.48$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.841650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No43c151$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.583773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c141.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8928659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae3…8753backed Yes55c139.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No43c129$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.533354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes53c123$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.181136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.054447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No44c90.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.48per pick38cpaid+142.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x434a…ee25backed Yes56c90.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No60c90.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.063455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Yes59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.451650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes58c86.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes54c86.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.622040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes60c82.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.056471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No61c79.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1830536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5e…87d1backed Yes54c76.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked No43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6711351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes56c64.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.28per pick36cpaid+101.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.523240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Yes56c59.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.031050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed No44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…fb20backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes33c54.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.959714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…2ba1backed Yes57c52.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes59c51.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93073.3%22 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked No45c48.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed No74c47.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.518050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abc…509cbacked No44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+67.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No65c44.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.299257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Yes56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9f…3544backed No51c42.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f5…740bbacked Yes59c41.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.093330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8529…b973backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…9368backed Yes59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No58c39.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.814951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes57c39.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x394b…4f55backed Yes53c38.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb630…d769backed No47c36.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777f…e89dbacked Yes55c36.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1da3…757dbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes57c34.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.