Australian A League · resolved market
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a649e8dd106f6ef39b8864233d2de3d9892a6bc5da7ff6fc8d532c890d2e15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 19c | 2,697$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.42 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 1,962$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.05 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 1,922$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.9 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,677$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 1,210$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.49 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,187$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.78 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 1,003$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.04 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 79c | 881.15$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 788.14$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.71 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 33c | 593.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 558.48$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.11 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 53c | 442.02$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.27 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 61c | 433$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 430.27$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.36 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 378.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 318$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 306.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Yes | 45c | 276.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked No | 39c | 256.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 218.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 38c | 200.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 38c | 179.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 141.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82f…9fb8backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 79c | 104.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 78c | 96.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +394%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 80c | 56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Yes | 72c | 41.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 76c | 37.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 34.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 30.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 78c | 26.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…ca17backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked No | 58c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…9d33backed No | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.