Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 39°F or below on February 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48139984ae97724eeea6259f8c48bb1aa72296932ea3e18a1b9991a0fed13eaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1558…4f75backed No | 64c | 771.07$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 33c | 742.47$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 19c | 639.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…5d2dbacked Yes | 30c | 508.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 70c | 475.65$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 34c | 425.25$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 34c | 316.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…7a6cbacked Yes | 46c | 278.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 272.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 66c | 265$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 26c | 263.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…dd57backed Yes | 45c | 251.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…5bb6backed Yes | 58c | 249.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 7c | 239.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 25c | 175.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 35c | 170.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…b4efbacked Yes | 56c | 166.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed Yes | 23c | 161.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…9f1bbacked Yes | 60c | 154.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…722ebacked Yes | 26c | 154.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 147.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…cd5dbacked Yes | 39c | 140.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 34c | 133.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…5a48backed Yes | 24c | 132$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 52c | 115.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…3a89backed Yes | 48c | 105.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 66c | 99.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 12c | 98.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…62dfbacked Yes | 12c | 88.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 251 | 19.9%50 W · 201 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 57c | 88.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 72c | 81.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…f54ebacked Yes | 38c | 77.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 54c | 74.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…4fecbacked No | 55c | 74.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 61c | 74.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 69c | 70.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 76c | 70.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 165 | 20.6%34 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b3…487cbacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…7627backed Yes | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 61c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…dfc9backed Yes | 30c | 60.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed Yes | 36c | 60.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…e1e1backed Yes | 48c | 53.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 58c | 52.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 343 | 69.4%238 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…8fb0backed Yes | 38c | 50.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…43f6backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…7881backed Yes | 28c | 48.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ac…eb36backed Yes | 28c | 46.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4498…c984backed No | 55c | 46.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7323…2f6cbacked Yes | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2d…2debbacked Yes | 51c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…14debacked Yes | 48c | 45.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…4743backed Yes | 52c | 45.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed Yes | 44c | 44.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…8999backed No | 51c | 44.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…8da9backed Yes | 47c | 44.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d44…831bbacked Yes | 41c | 43.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…76d4backed Yes | 46c | 43.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…e484backed No | 71c | 40.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed Yes | 43c | 39.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 57c | 39.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 63c | 38.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked No | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 45c | 36.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 52c | 31.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac19…ce5ebacked No | 72c | 30.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…606bbacked Yes | 65c | 28.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…aec6backed Yes | 61c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee9…90dbbacked Yes | 49c | 24.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 69c | 23.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…446cbacked Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…fd5dbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 50c | 20.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…4fb2backed No | 74c | 18.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 90 | 76.7%69 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…5607backed No | 78c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…5968backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 39°F or below on February 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 54°F or higher on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on February 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on February 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.