Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaf40bace378c3f0a759d4c8b5ae0a7016f2a55e0c164ecce3f8ac20cfbdbb39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 7,974$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,881.75 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 15c | 5,159$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.73 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe636…69d0backed No | 1c | 3,328$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 4c | 3,214$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.96 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…9729backed Yes | 5c | 3,052$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 2,953$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.83 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 1c | 2,026$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…82b3backed No | 77c | 1,584$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…4fbcbacked Yes | 42c | 1,440$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.37 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked Yes | 11c | 905.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.61 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 25c | 718.87$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…5134backed No | 70c | 691.44$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 13c | 650$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 30c | 593.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.43 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 585.36$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.12 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 8c | 496.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.07 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 4c | 400.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa22…2303backed Yes | 63c | 277.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…ed49backed Yes | 44c | 273.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 77c | 268.71$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.91 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 9c | 261.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.78 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 50c | 248.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 67c | 248.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 24c | 235$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 77c | 232.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 11c | 219.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.46 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…864abacked Yes | 5c | 213.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +401.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 20c | 200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed No | 28c | 179.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 40c | 140.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 137.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 131.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 16c | 130.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 12c | 121.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 59c | 107.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 15c | 100.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1e…1dc1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed Yes | 30c | 99.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 435 | 15.2%66 W · 369 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…6041backed Yes | 76c | 94.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed Yes | 18c | 93.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 20c | 88.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 15c | 83.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 57c | 78.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 31c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked Yes | 29c | 69.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 19c | 66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…09babacked No | 72c | 63.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…7291backed Yes | 19c | 63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed No | 73c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b7…675cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 50c | 47.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…644fbacked No | 41c | 45.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 70c | 45.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…d239backed Yes | 24c | 44.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…9afabacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…b17cbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc98backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 34c | 32.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…7084backed No | 80c | 29.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…63acbacked Yes | 71c | 28.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 58c | 22.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dc…d8a4backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…955cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked No | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 76c | 17.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…815abacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 179 | 78.8%141 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.