Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c4ba1b1a3a2ef7fafaeaca60bdfacfc825677321a3383644af4ddf907f2beb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7084…7884backed Yes | 29c | 426.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…556cbacked Yes | 63c | 380.11$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…d770backed Yes | 44c | 308.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.53 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 29c | 302.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 287.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 63c | 237.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…9424backed Yes | 70c | 212.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 63c | 201.64$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 36c | 199.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 196.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 37c | 187.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 22c | 180.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…75f3backed Yes | 62c | 133.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 221 | 71%157 W · 64 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 34c | 112.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 32c | 110.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 68c | 109.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 72c | 107.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 50c | 107.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 46c | 107.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 106.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed No | 66c | 101.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…0511backed Yes | 41c | 96.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 29c | 89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 46c | 81.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 37c | 81.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 31c | 78.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 73.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 44c | 73.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 60c | 64.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 64.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 23c | 64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…09fabacked Yes | 32c | 55.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 221 | 25.3%56 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 67c | 55.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 46c | 54.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 79c | 53.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 52.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 39c | 51.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 56c | 50.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 73.1%147 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 48.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…df0fbacked No | 75c | 46.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 58c | 42.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…c431backed No | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 63cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 58c | 37.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…93abbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…6084backed Yes | 31c | 34.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c40…8ef9backed Yes | 58c | 29.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 63c | 29.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 343 | 69.4%238 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 64c | 28.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 69c | 25.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 115 | 69.6%80 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 73c | 23.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 51c | 23.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 61c | 21.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed No | 71c | 21.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 67c | 21.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 70c | 19.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked Yes | 78c | 19.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…3661backed Yes | 78c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 71c | 17.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 69c | 14.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.