TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes63c11,353$7,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,165.654551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes52c8,705$4,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.7114060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No36c8,668$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,547.521656.3%9 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.42per pick14cpaid+367.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c6,944$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.9398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No53c5,519$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.951844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c1,499$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.4423551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No50c1,397$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.230954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.118139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c1,038$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.0947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes46c902$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.774032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No54c900$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4142339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No32c900$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.0411063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes17c874.4$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7510757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No34c828.62$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.786471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No8c700$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6461100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,196.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes41c607.05$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes67c562.67$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.0914843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No67c555.81$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6914951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes65c527.58$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.431442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes49c483.71$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.254940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No50c470.77$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.161650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c426.61$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9624732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes41c329.85$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4214047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No72c309.24$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.661136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-38.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…db9dbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c269.63$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes47c253.28$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.042040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.74151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No13c244.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.12450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+415.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c236.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.113551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes43c233.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes44c218$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No52c166.45$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1730536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes7c165$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No53c138$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.863354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes43c136.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.28per pick36cpaid+101.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No48c133.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.869257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes66c109.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9316865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xac5e…87d1backed Yes46c108.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes13c104.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147334.2%25 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked No31c100.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.026850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Yes36c99.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes53c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.592544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…fb20backed Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.935651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes44c83.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.53050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+145.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Yes47c71.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.811650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed No58c70.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.244233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes33c70.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.332152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.672556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes19c64.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5511351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No52c54.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe2…147abacked Yes42c52.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed No32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes38c46.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.332330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No56c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed Yes40c43.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes28c42.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked No32c41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.881080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Yes40c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes36c38.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes44c37.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.519714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes41c35.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3333444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes36c31.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4711050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No54c30.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1110857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c8…bc51backed Yes49c29.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes48c29.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No55c27.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.244055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes45c25.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.253458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.044247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No57c22.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7122652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae77…fa72backed No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed No67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.