Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x254ca07a6d5206272cfe445b42b480a114cc832eda8b61fd8303e4e30092d14b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 18c | 2,101$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.05 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 1,554$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.66 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 902.56$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 812.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 629.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 79c | 589.67$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 505.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 476.95$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 269.07$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Yes | 26c | 267.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 75c | 242$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 220.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 27c | 219.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 25c | 205$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 10c | 199.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 27c | 179.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 13c | 168.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Yes | 15c | 166.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 162.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 19c | 152.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 21c | 141.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 137.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 22c | 129$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 69c | 93.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 62.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 38.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 70c | 30.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 76c | 24.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 79c | 22.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…fab3backed No | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 71c | 17.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked No | 71c | 14.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.