Australian A League · resolved market
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe560dad8951afaef06b23f5473de92cae1c3a70d05d3be4ea3a2afe1a06191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 7,174$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.65 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked No | 72c | 7,065$5,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 35c | 3,185$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.55 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…d509backed No | 67c | 2,406$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 60c | 1,871$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.76 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 31c | 1,800$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,580$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.17 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 28c | 798.15$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 71c | 792.77$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 784.7$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.02 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 22c | 782.17$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 69c | 671.74$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 31c | 641.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.59 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 558.05$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.13 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 532.49$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 35c | 407.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 19c | 361.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 310.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.92 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 43c | 310.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 59c | 278.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 80c | 271.44$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed No | 11c | 269.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 224.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 210$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 26c | 210$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 167.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 41c | 165$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 17c | 161.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 147.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 34c | 133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 127.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 44c | 114.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 55c | 102.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 31c | 97.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…6659backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 32c | 78.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 28c | 50.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 37.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 44c | 36.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 66c | 30.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…fcaebacked Yes | 71c | 25.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 72c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 75c | 13.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.