Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f22110f7b536cbf0740f23c3a0574e410891133310b472e583830962ca63a44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 42c | 1,668$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.24 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 33c | 969.24$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.4 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 919$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.83 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 907.66$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.92 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 901.57$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.19 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 835.75$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.21 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 33c | 659.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 637.57$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.83 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 601.83$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.39 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 57c | 570.14$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.28 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 72c | 547.06$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 43c | 526.32$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 53c | 510$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 58c | 500$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.45 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 58c | 431.97$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.54 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 59c | 399.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 20c | 386.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 62c | 358$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 42c | 275.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 32c | 251.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed Over | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 240.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 46c | 239.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 236.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 29c | 173.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 58c | 159.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…5993backed Over | 72c | 144.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 27c | 142.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 129.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 123.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 76c | 117.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 47c | 115.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 16c | 96.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…2857backed Under | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 57c | 83.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…a11bbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 61c | 66.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 66c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 36c | 58.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 37c | 49.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 44.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 68c | 35.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 41c | 35.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 42c | 35.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 50c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 61c | 18.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 57c | 18.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Gwangju FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Gwangju FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.