Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba39e11a37fe9fd1ed660463c2b4f261a4d482afad648f34848eec8eae99be33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 4,008$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.77 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 2,544$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.71 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 1,272$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.81 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 1,149$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.24 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 561.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.64 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 460.73$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 51c | 398.75$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 79c | 377.47$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 271.07$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 73c | 220.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 200.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Under | 57c | 174.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 59c | 168.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Under | 68c | 146.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 21c | 119.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 24c | 105.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 91.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 85.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6a…77b8backed Under | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Under | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 79c | 69.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 79c | 65.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 77c | 65.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 21c | 64.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 79c | 62.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 20c | 55.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 32c | 43.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…696cbacked Over | 69c | 42.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 45c | 32.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 55c | 32.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 70c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 79c | 18.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Gwangju FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Gwangju FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.