Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Krueger (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e218ebd1ee594fee6451b784bf5709cd213407347dd5a5b74761f17b1e7bd07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kostyukof Kostyuk, Krueger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9217…ce22backed Kostyuk | 46c | 4,940$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.38 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Krueger | 56c | 4,859$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Krueger | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kostyuk | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.99 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Krueger | 59c | 1,707$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Krueger | 37c | 1,332$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.74 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Kostyuk | 47c | 1,250$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kostyuk | 43c | 1,147$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.84 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Krueger | 58c | 1,112$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Kostyuk | 41c | 1,084$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.81 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Krueger | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Kostyuk | 43c | 666.05$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.79 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kostyuk | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Krueger | 45c | 599.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Kostyuk | 42c | 583.44$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.39 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Kostyuk | 62c | 521.64$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kostyuk | 42c | 513$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.54 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Krueger | 54c | 503.07$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.17 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…d030backed Kostyuk | 74c | 502.51$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Krueger | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kostyuk | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Krueger | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Krueger | 49c | 398.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Krueger | 52c | 383.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Kostyuk | 45c | 380.22$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…8f9ebacked Krueger | 60c | 317.52$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Kostyuk | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Krueger | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Krueger | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Kostyuk | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Kostyuk | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Kostyuk | 44c | 224.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…f351backed Krueger | 57c | 215.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kostyuk | 46c | 198.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Kostyuk | 45c | 195.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…aec7backed Krueger | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Krueger | 29c | 176.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Krueger | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…c4bdbacked Krueger | 58c | 173.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.0wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Krueger | 57c | 172.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Krueger | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Kostyuk | 55c | 140.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Kostyuk | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Kostyuk | 69c | 129.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7df…7f82backed Kostyuk | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Krueger | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Krueger | 30c | 101.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed Kostyuk | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Kostyuk | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Krueger | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kostyuk | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kostyuk | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kostyuk | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Krueger | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Kostyuk | 78c | 76.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Kostyuk | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Kostyuk | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Krueger | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Krueger | 56c | 52.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Kostyuk | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Kostyuk | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kostyuk | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Kostyuk | 47c | 45.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Kostyuk | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kostyuk | 42c | 39.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Kostyuk | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Krueger | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Kostyuk | 56c | 36.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Krueger | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +88%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Krueger | 57c | 32.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523fbacked Kostyuk | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kostyuk | 44c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Krueger | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Krueger | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Krueger (+1.5)this page
- Ashlyn Krueger vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Krueger vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Krueger vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Krueger vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Krueger vs KostyukKostyuk won
- Set 2 Winner: Krueger vs KostyukKostyuk won
- Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.