Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Krueger vs Kostyuk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc0128c35cbefcccf215d60ea3e2a2728ad7deeb39c96f9486a4dcf57038eb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kostyukof Krueger, Kostyuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Krueger | 29c | 1,277$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.03 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Kostyuk | 76c | 1,120$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.74 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kostyuk | 63c | 749.65$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.7 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Krueger | 44c | 649.62$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kostyuk | 58c | 586.77$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Krueger | 44c | 458.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Krueger | 35c | 439.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.46 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Krueger | 54c | 233.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Kostyuk | 66c | 209.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Kostyuk | 54c | 202$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kostyuk | 55c | 202$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Kostyuk | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Krueger | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…aec7backed Krueger | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Krueger | 70c | 81.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Krueger | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Kostyuk | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Kostyuk | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Krueger | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Kostyuk | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Krueger | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Krueger vs Kostyukthis page
- Ashlyn Krueger vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Krueger vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Krueger vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Krueger vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Krueger vs KostyukKostyuk won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Krueger (+1.5)Kostyuk won
- Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.