South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e56eb84565f17014e593c1c7715b7cd0a08f4b3bb52db68a982697947d6739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 4c | 6,086$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 41c | 3,688$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.58 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 61c | 2,580$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.12 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 57c | 2,533$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.86 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 77c | 1,601$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.47 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,458$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 1,256$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.84 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 60c | 1,201$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.4 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 950.19$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 824.32$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.98 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 41c | 558.9$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.84 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 19c | 531.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 21c | 523.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 39c | 517.95$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 8c | 358.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 26c | 320.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 35c | 300.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 10c | 288.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Under | 18c | 275.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 73c | 256.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 28c | 254.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 248$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 56c | 240.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 63c | 238.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Over | 55c | 222.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 48c | 216.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 10c | 216.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 181.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 55c | 180.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 70c | 170.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 163.24$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 12c | 162.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over | 60c | 151.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 71c | 141.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 54c | 139.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 131.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 126.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 41c | 113.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 40c | 113.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 46c | 78.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under | 47c | 77.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 62c | 64.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 60c | 59.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 42c | 58.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 61c | 58.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 54c | 50.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 42.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 59c | 41.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Over | 56c | 40.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 41c | 39.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…e1d9backed Over | 79c | 24.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 75c | 23.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…a73abacked Over | 71c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Rosario Central O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.