South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0bb9c09612eae017dfe8831559358523c1e6ff8525b0407b4c1655f2105e507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,186$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 36c | 689.27$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.52 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 22c | 489.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 68c | 440.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Over | 68c | 440.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Under | 45c | 399$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 55c | 399$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 77c | 181.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 65c | 150.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 27c | 77.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 50c | 53.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…830fbacked Over | 39c | 53.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 51.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 59c | 41.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Over | 39c | 37.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…e1d9backed Over | 71c | 27.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 73c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Rosario Central O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.